Ravi, Chenab flood levels likely to reach medium to high levels today

Widespread flooding has inundated nearly 400 square kilometers of Punjab, Pakistan, following torrential rains and the overflow of several drains. The Chenab and Ravi rivers are now forecast to reach medium to high flood levels within the next 24 hours, exacerbating the already severe situation. An official from the Punjab irrigation department described the current flooding as "very alarming," noting that vast areas in Sheikhupura, Muridke, Gujranwala, Narowal, and Pasrur have been submerged. The official likened the current state to an "inland sea" due to the extensive floodwaters, emphasizing the unprecedented and challenging nature of the monsoon season. Concerns are particularly high regarding the flow rates in the Ravi River. At Shahdara in Lahore, the flow is 22,000 cusecs, surging to 87,000 cusecs downstream at Balloki. The significant increase is attributed to water entering the river through drains and rainfall, a phenomenon that defies normal patterns where flow typically decreases downstream. Officials estimate it could take three to four days for the situation to normalize, contingent on no further rainfall. The Flood Forecasting Division (FFD) of the Pakistan Meteorological Department reports that the Chenab and Ravi rivers are currently at medium and low flood levels, respectively, but anticipate a rise to medium-to-high levels. The Chenab at Marala, Khanki, and Qadirabad is expected to remain at medium to high flood levels, while the Ravi is also projected to reach similar levels at Balloki and Sidhnai. Several other major rivers are flowing within normal ranges. In response to the escalating crisis, deputy commissioners across Lahore, Gujranwala, Sheikhupura, Sialkot, and Narowal have been placed on high alert. Emergency preparedness measures, including the establishment of relief camps, are being expedited. Officials in Lahore have already visited affected areas to oversee drainage operations.

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The situation is very alarming this time, as a vast area of around 400sq-kms has come under water in Sheikhupura, Muridke, Gujranwala, Narowal, Sambrial and Pasrur, which fall within the Lahore and Gujranwala divisions.