Spain Favored Over Belgium in World Cup Quarterfinal Clash

Spain is heavily favored to advance to the semifinals of the 2026 World Cup when they face Belgium in the quarterfinals. According to Opta Analyst simulations, Spain has a 58.3% chance of winning in regulation time, with Belgium's chances at just 19.1%. If the match goes to penalties, Spain's probability of advancing rises to 69.8%.

The historical record also heavily favors Spain. Belgium has not defeated Spain in their last 11 encounters across all competitions. Spain has won the last five matches with a commanding aggregate score of 13-1. Despite this, Belgium is showing signs of improving form, having defeated Senegal in the Round of 32 and convincingly beaten co-host USA 4-1 in the Round of 16.

Belgium's attack has been particularly effective, with a shot conversion rate of 12.1%, the second-best in their World Cup history. This offensive prowess, however, will be put to the test against Spain's formidable defense. Spain has maintained a remarkable defensive record throughout the tournament, achieving six consecutive clean sheets.