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Tarcísio leads Haddad 45% to 27% in São Paulo governor race, Datafolha poll shows
🇧🇷 Brazil /Elections & Politics

Tarcísio leads Haddad 45% to 27% in São Paulo governor race, Datafolha poll shows

From Estadão · () Portuguese

Translated from Portuguese, summarized and contextualized by DistantNews.

At a glance

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  • São Paulo Governor Tarcísio de Freitas leads the gubernatorial race with 45% of voter intention, according to a Datafolha poll released August 21.
  • His main opponent, Fernando Haddad, trails with 27% of the vote.
  • In a hypothetical second round, Freitas would secure 54% of the vote compared to Haddad's 35%.

São Paulo Governor Tarcísio de Freitas is leading the gubernatorial election race with 45% of voter intentions, according to a Datafolha poll released on August 21. His primary challenger, former minister Fernando Haddad, is in second place with 27%.

The poll, which surveyed 1,610 people between August 18 and 21, has a margin of error of two percentage points. In a projected second-round matchup, Freitas holds a stronger lead, garnering 54% of the vote compared to Haddad's 35%.

Other candidates lag significantly behind the frontrunners. Vera Lúcia of PSTU has 4%, Carlos Machado of PCB and Policial Edjane of Agir each have 3%, Vivian Mendes of UP has 2%, and Izadora Dias of PCO has 1%. Approximately 11% of respondents indicated they would cast a blank, null, or no vote, while 4% remain undecided.

The survey was commissioned by Folha de S. Paulo and Grupo Globo and registered with the Superior Electoral Court (TSE) under protocol SP-01806/2026. In the previous poll, Freitas had 46% and Haddad had 30%. The latest results indicate a slight decrease in support for both leading candidates.

DistantNews Editorial

Originally published by Estadão in Portuguese. Translated, summarized, and contextualized by our editorial team with added local perspective. Read our editorial standards.

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