The Islamic Republic has survived, regime consolidation follows

The United States and Iran are poised to formally sign a peace agreement in Geneva on Friday, aiming to conclude a conflict initiated on February 28th with U.S.-Israeli attacks that significantly impacted the region. A crucial component of the deal involves the cessation of Israeli attacks on Lebanon.

The agreement's main provisions include the immediate reopening of cargo ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz following the Geneva meeting. The U.S. naval blockade will be lifted, and Iran has committed to not charging fees for vessels transiting the strait. The complex issue of Iran's nuclear program is deferred for future negotiations.

Within 60 days of the agreement's signing, the U.S. and the European Union are expected to unfreeze $12 billion in Iranian assets and lift the majority of sanctions imposed on the country. A ceasefire, described as a "cessation of all hostilities," is already in effect and extends to Israeli strikes on Lebanon.

However, the path to lasting peace faces significant obstacles, primarily from Israel. The article suggests that Israel's far-right coalition government actively sought to undermine the agreement, as continuing the war against Iran, which the U.S. reportedly initiated at the behest of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, is supported by a considerable portion of the Israeli public. Iran has clearly stated that any continuation of Israeli attacks on Lebanon would lead to the immediate nullification of the peace deal.