'The Kyiv Independent': Ukraine and Russia approach dangerous 'total war' threshold

The conflict between Ukraine and Russia is escalating towards a dangerous phase described as 'total war,' The Kyiv Independent reports. This term, previously used sparingly, signifies a state's complete mobilization of all resources, military, economic, and societal, to achieve victory by destroying the adversary's capacity to function.

Experts define total war as a conflict where a nation dedicates all its assets to the war effort, aiming to dismantle not just the opposing military but also its economic base. This strategy often leads to strikes targeting civilian infrastructure and economic targets, with the scale of attacks dictated more by capability than by conventional rules of engagement.

Both Ukraine and Russia have intensified their economic warfare tactics. Since 2022, Russia has targeted Ukraine's energy infrastructure and maritime trade. More recently, Ukraine has struck Russian oil refineries, logistics centers, and even civilian facilities like Wildberries distribution hubs. In response, Moscow has increased its attacks on Ukrainian economic assets, including warehouses of large companies and port infrastructure in the Odesa region.

Analysts suggest both sides aim to inflict irreparable economic damage on the other, seeking to force a collapse. However, Ukraine's smaller demographic and resource base presents a significant challenge if the conflict prolongs. Russia's military strategy, previously reliant on resource and manpower superiority, is seeing slower offensive tempos. The potential for a new Russian mobilization after upcoming elections could further prolong the war, posing a critical threat to Ukraine's ability to sustain the fight.