Trump loses key independent voters amid election year concerns

Donald Trump is experiencing a notable decline in support among independent voters, a critical bloc often decisive in U.S. elections. An analysis by the Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research reveals that young voters without college degrees, who had a positive outlook on Trump around previous elections, are now expressing significant discontent.

The research indicates a steady erosion of support among this group over Trump's tenure, with their backing falling to approximately a quarter this spring. This trend is reflected in nearly two dozen AP-NORC polls conducted between July 2024 and April 2026. The report also highlights a growing number of Americans identifying as independent.

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extremely or very concerned about not being able to afford food in recent months.

Economic concerns, particularly inflation affecting food and gasoline prices, are identified as the primary drivers behind this shift. The conflict with Iran and its impact on fuel costs have played a decisive role in shaping voter opinions. A May poll found that only 12% of independent voters approved of Trump's handling of the cost of living.

Significant changes are also observed among Hispanic voters, following a year marked by increased immigration enforcement actions. The analysis suggests that the economy, especially the rising cost of essentials, is a major factor pushing these voters away from the Republican party and Trump.

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only 12% of this electorate approved of Trump's handling of the cost of living.