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Trump's refusal to return to war with Iran will 'cost him dearly', Saudi expert claims

From Jerusalem Post · () English

Summarized and contextualized by DistantNews.

At a glance

News Named sources Context piece
  • A Saudi analyst claims that former U.S. President Donald Trump's refusal to engage in conflict with Iran will negatively impact him.
  • The analyst suggests that Saudi Arabia and other Gulf States are not taking Trump's demands to join the Abraham Accords seriously due to perceived U.S. decline on the international stage.
  • Saudi Arabia is reportedly leading a new "Arab-Islamic bloc" with Pakistan, Turkey, and Qatar, aiming for a non-violent regional agreement that excludes Israeli presence.

Saudi Arabia no longer trusts the U.S. to provide security, according to Saudi analyst Mubarak al-Ati. In an interview on Russia Today TV, Ati stated that former President Donald Trump's reluctance to pursue war and overthrow the Iranian regime will "cost him dearly," characterizing the U.S. president as a "paper tiger."

It seems that [US President Donald] Trump refuses to return to war and overthrow the Ayatollah's regime. This will cost him dearly.

โ€” Mubarak al-AtiExplaining his view on the consequences of Trump's stance on Iran.

Ati pointed to the U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan in 2021 as the first clear sign of its international decline. While acknowledging the U.S. remains a superpower, he argued its influence has waned significantly over the past decade. This shift, he believes, has created new opportunities for rising powers like India, Saudi Arabia, and Brazil to engage with various global forces, not just the U.S.

The US is still a superpower, but not as it was a decade ago.

โ€” Mubarak al-AtiDescribing the perceived decline of U.S. influence on the international stage.

The Saudi expert contends that the U.S.'s diminishing global presence has led Gulf States and other Muslim nations to dismiss Trump's calls for joining the Abraham Accords. "Saudi Arabia refrained from being drawn into war and did not stand alongside Israel and the United States, just as it did not stand alongside Iran," Ati said. He asserted that Saudi Arabia is acting as an independent player, not a satellite of Israel or the U.S.

Saudi Arabia refrained from being drawn into war and did not stand alongside Israel and the United States, just as it did not stand alongside Iran.

โ€” Mubarak al-AtiExplaining Saudi Arabia's independent foreign policy stance.

Instead, Saudi Arabia is reportedly spearheading a new "Arab-Islamic bloc" that includes Pakistan, Turkey, and Qatar, with an announcement expected soon. This bloc, according to Ati, is hindering the Abraham Accords and aims to reduce Israeli influence in regions like Sudan, South Yemen, and Somaliland. Saudi Arabia will not join the Abraham Accords, he stated, as its diplomacy is focused on facilitating a non-violent regional agreement involving Iran and Gulf states, backed by Islamic and international guarantees.

It has put the brakes on the Abraham Accords and is clearing the region of Israeli presence in Sudan, South Yemen, and Somaliland. Saudi Arabia will not join the Abraham Accords.

โ€” Mubarak al-AtiDetailing the impact of the new Arab-Islamic bloc on regional dynamics.
DistantNews Editorial

Originally published by Jerusalem Post. Summarized and contextualized by our editorial team with added local perspective. Read our editorial standards.