Typhoon Kujira May Form East of Philippines, Could Be Absorbed by Nalgae

A tropical depression east of the Philippines, designated TD15, is poised to strengthen into Typhoon Kujira (the 14th typhoon this year) as early as Monday. However, Kujira faces a potential encounter with Typhoon Nalgae, which could absorb it and draw it westward.

The Joint Typhoon Warning Center has issued a "Gale Warning" (GW), indicating the likelihood of Kujira forming. The Central Weather Administration (CWA) forecasts that Kujira will make landfall in the Philippines and then re-emerge over the sea eastward. Meanwhile, the weather forum "Taiwan Typhoon Forum | Weather Express" suggests that TD15 might become Typhoon Kujira before landfall, but could then be pulled out from the Philippines by Nalgae and be absorbed.

“

TD15 has the chance to become Typhoon Kujira before making landfall in the Philippines, but it might be pulled out from the Philippines by Nalgae and then be absorbed.

Wu Sheng-yu, a senior consultant at WeatherRisk, warned on Facebook that the European model (ECMWF) predicts Nalgae's path to be more westward during the merging process. This interaction could significantly expand Nalgae's circulation, particularly on its southern side. After the merger, the typhoon would approach the Ryukyu Islands, entering a critical zone for a potential northward turn. Observers are watching to see if this interaction between a large typhoon and a smaller disturbance proceeds smoothly or if unexpected changes occur.

“

The ECMWF model predicts Nalgae's path to be more westward during the merging process, and the overall circulation range will significantly expand (especially on the south side). After the merger, the typhoon will also be near the Ryukyu Islands, entering a critical zone for whether it begins to turn north.