Typhoon Sadhel's path solidifies southwest, expected to impact Taiwan most significantly Thursday-Friday

Typhoon Sadhel has intensified to a moderate typhoon, with its path trending southwest after passing Okinawa. The storm is expected to have the most significant impact on Taiwan from Thursday afternoon to Friday. "Taiwan Typhoon Forum | Weather Express" noted that Sadhel has reached its peak intensity as a moderate typhoon and may undergo eyewall replacement. Its strength is expected to remain stable for the next 24 hours, with further intensification into a strong typhoon still uncertain.

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The path has gradually converged, and the trend of moving southwest after passing Okinawa has become clear.

The storm's trajectory is influenced by a west-east high-pressure ridge spanning Japan, South Korea, and northern China. Sadhel is forecast to move northwest initially, then shift to a northwest-by-west direction over the next two days. By Wednesday, it is expected to pass near Okinawa before turning significantly southwest due to the influence of the North China high-pressure system and a low-pressure trough to its southeast. Current projections indicate it will approach Taiwan by Thursday afternoon and skirt the northern coast on Friday morning before making landfall in Fujian, China.

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Sadhel has reached its peak intensity as a moderate typhoon, and may undergo eyewall replacement again. Its strength is expected to remain stable for the next 24 hours.

The typhoon's path remains contingent on the strength of the high-pressure system; a stronger system would push the storm further south. The period from Wednesday until its approach to Taiwan will be critical for path adjustments and determining landfall. As Sadhel nears Okinawa, it is expected to weaken gradually due to increased vertical wind shear and decreasing sea surface temperature and ocean heat content. Its intensity is also predicted to decrease as it approaches Taiwan.

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The path will significantly turn southwest after passing near Okinawa on Wednesday, influenced by the North China high-pressure system and the low-pressure trough on its southeast side.

"Typhoon Forum" stated that current model predictions are converging, showing a clear trend of Sadhel moving southwest. The main impact period is anticipated from Thursday afternoon to Friday. Based on the current path, the storm's radius could encompass areas from Taipei to Nantou, Yilan, and the Kinmen and Matsu islands. If the path shifts further south, the affected area will expand. A clearer path prediction is expected in the next two to three days.

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The storm's radius may cover Taipei to Nantou, Yilan, and the Kinmen and Matsu islands.