UK's 'Bregret' Deepens as Brexit's Economic Toll Mounts
Translated from Portuguese, summarized and contextualized by DistantNews.
At a glance
- The UK faces its seventh prime minister in a decade, with Andy Burnham potentially succeeding Keir Starmer.
- Brexit, implemented ten years ago, is cited as a primary cause for the UK's economic stagnation, with estimates suggesting a 4-8% lower GDP growth and 10% less investment.
- A significant portion of the electorate, 57%, now views Brexit as a disaster, a sentiment termed 'Bregret'.
The United Kingdom is on the cusp of potentially seeing its seventh prime minister in ten years, with speculation surrounding Andy Burnham's rise as a moderate figure invoking "hope" and echoing populist language like "ending 40 years of neoliberalism." This political flux comes a decade after the June 23, 2016 referendum, where a narrow majority voted for the UK to leave the European Union.
Economic analyses suggest that Brexit has significantly hampered the UK's growth. Independent calculations estimate that the country's GDP has grown between 4% and 8% less than it could have, with productive investments expanding by 10% less during this period. Proponents of Brexit, including Boris Johnson, had invoked nostalgia and promised a return to a golden age, echoing Donald Trump's "Make America Great Again" slogan by pledging to "take back control" of national destiny.
However, the promise of restored sovereignty has proven illusory for many. Michael Heseltine, a prominent figure in the defeated pro-European wing of the Conservative Party, noted that while a person in the desert is sovereign, they are powerless without resources. Today, a majority of voters, 57%, now perceive Brexit as a catastrophe, leading to the rise of "Bregret" โ British regret.
The roots of the Brexit movement, however, extend beyond the immediate economic consequences. They are embedded in a long-standing nostalgia stemming from the UK's post-World War II status. Emerging triumphant but financially depleted from the war, the nation clung to its "special relationship" with the United States and the dream of imperial continuity. This outlook, as then-Chancellor Anthony Eden articulated in 1952 when refusing an invitation to join the nascent EU, suggested British interests lay far beyond the European continent. It took the Suez Crisis in 1956, after the loss of India in 1947, for the UK to begin accepting its status as a medium power and embark on a diplomatic path toward Europe, eventually joining in 1973. Yet, this membership never solidified into a consensus within the two main political parties.
Originally published by Folha de S.Paulo in Portuguese. Translated, summarized, and contextualized by our editorial team with added local perspective. Read our editorial standards.