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Ukraine's intelligence chief says Russia has enough resources to wage war through 2028

From Ukrainska Pravda · () Ukrainian

Translated from Ukrainian and summarized by DistantNews. Read the original for the full story.

At a glance

News Named sources Ongoing story
  • Ukraine's Defence Intelligence chief said Russia may have enough resources to continue fighting through 2027 and 2028.
  • Oleh Ivashchenko called for stronger enforcement of sanctions against suppliers of components, machine tools and chemicals entering Russia through intermediary companies.
  • He said Russian public discontent could grow as economic pressures and troop losses increase, while estimating average daily losses at 1,200 to 1,400 personnel.

Russia still has enough resources to continue its war against Ukraine through 2027 and 2028, according to Oleh Ivashchenko, head of Ukraine's Defence Intelligence.

"Meanwhile, it still has sufficient resources to wage war against Ukraine. We do not rule out that these resources could last through both 2027 and 2028," Ivashchenko said in an interview with Ukrinform.

Meanwhile, it still has sufficient resources to wage war against Ukraine. We do not rule out that these resources could last through both 2027 and 2028.

· Oleh IvashchenkoUkraine's intelligence chief assessed Russia's ability to sustain the war.

He argued that Ukraine's partners must work together to cut off those resources. Sanctions, he said, need to work in practice, including against countries and intermediary companies that supply Russia with electronic components, machine tools and specialized chemicals used to support its war effort.

Sanctions must actually work. We know which countries supply the Russian Federation with electronic components, machine tools and specialised chemicals. Many intermediary companies are emerging that import into Russia goods which subsequently fuel its war machine against us.

· Oleh IvashchenkoHe called for partners to stop supplies reaching Russia through intermediary companies.

Ivashchenko also predicted that public dissatisfaction inside Russia would increase, although he said it was difficult to determine whether that would produce a strong protest movement. He said more than 60% of Russians were already against the war, attributing that sentiment to economic conditions and heavy Russian personnel losses.

The intelligence chief said Russia's contract-recruitment model had largely exhausted itself and that regional budgets could no longer afford contract-enlistment payments. He estimated Russia's average daily losses at 1,200 to 1,400 personnel, sometimes reaching 1,500, including those killed and seriously wounded. In early June, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy urged Russian President Vladimir Putin not to carry the war into 2027 and 2028.

But more than 60% of people are already against the war. This is a consequence of the economic situation and the enemy's heavy personnel losses.

· Oleh IvashchenkoHe linked potential growth in Russian public discontent to economic pressure and military losses.
About this summary

Originally published by Ukrainska Pravda in Ukrainian. Translated, summarized, and contextualized automatically by DistantNews, with a note on how the source frames the story. Not individually reviewed before publishing. How this works.