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Vietnam Stocks: Identifying Sectors Under Strong Selling Pressure If Market Corrects

Vietnam Stocks: Identifying Sectors Under Strong Selling Pressure If Market Corrects

From Tuổi Trẻ · (10m ago) Vietnamese

Translated from Vietnamese, summarized and contextualized by DistantNews.

TLDR

  • Vietnam's VN-Index is approaching its historical peak of 1,900 points, prompting predictions of a market correction.
  • Experts anticipate a divergence among industry groups, with real estate and highly speculative stocks likely to face selling pressure.
  • Banking and securities sectors are expected to show resilience due to strong fundamentals and attractive valuations, respectively.

From a Vietnamese perspective, the approaching 1,900-point mark for the VN-Index, as discussed by Tuổi Trẻ, represents a significant milestone and a moment of cautious optimism. The Vietnamese stock market has shown remarkable resilience and growth, reflecting the country's robust economic expansion and increasing investor confidence. However, as experts like Huỳnh Anh Huy from Kafi Securities point out, reaching historical highs often precedes a period of adjustment. This sentiment is keenly felt by local investors who have experienced market volatility in the past.

There will be a divergence between industry groups when the market cools down.

— Huỳnh Anh HuyDirector of Industry Analysis at Kafi Securities, predicting market behavior as the VN-Index approaches a historical peak.

The analysis distinguishing between sectors—predicting a downturn for overheated real estate stocks while highlighting the stability of banking and the attractiveness of securities—is crucial for the domestic audience. Vietnamese investors are keenly aware of the cyclical nature of the market and the specific factors driving different industries. The mention of the "war in the Middle East" and its impact on oil prices, alongside the Hormuz Strait's instability, adds a layer of global context that directly influences local market sentiment, particularly concerning inflation and import costs.

The real estate stock group or stocks that have heated up recently will be the groups with the highest probability of declining.

— Huỳnh Anh HuyDirector of Industry Analysis at Kafi Securities, identifying sectors vulnerable to a market correction.

Furthermore, the commentary on the "difference this year"—the lack of abundant liquidity leading to strong differentiation between stocks with good earnings and speculative ones—is a key observation for the Vietnamese market. This suggests a maturing market where fundamentals are increasingly prioritized over pure speculation. The anticipation of a post-earnings season lull and a holiday break also contributes to a cautious outlook. For Vietnamese investors, understanding these nuances is vital for navigating the market effectively, balancing the excitement of potential gains with the prudence required to protect capital during potential corrections.

VN-Index continues to increase, testing the 1,880-point - 1,900-point range.

— Chứng khoán Sài Gòn – Hà Nội (SHS)Securities firm's analysis on the VN-Index's short-term trajectory.
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Originally published by Tuổi Trẻ in Vietnamese. Translated, summarized, and contextualized by our editorial team with added local perspective. Read our editorial standards.