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WMO warns of potentially powerful El Niño this year

From Morgunblaðið · () Icelandic

Translated from Icelandic, summarized and contextualized by DistantNews.

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  • The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) has issued a warning about the onset of an El Niño event, predicting it could have particularly significant impacts this year.
  • El Niño is an annual weather phenomenon characterized by widespread positive sea surface temperature anomalies in the eastern Pacific, affecting global weather patterns, increasing temperatures, and causing altered precipitation.
  • The WMO warns that this El Niño could exacerbate existing difficulties, potentially leading to prolonged heavy rainfall, increased heatwaves, disease spread, and food and water shortages, impacting vulnerable populations and global food prices.

The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) has issued a stark warning regarding the impending El Niño phenomenon, predicting that its effects this year could be exceptionally potent. El Niño, an annual occurrence, is defined by extensive positive sea surface temperature deviations in the eastern Pacific Ocean, which in turn influence weather patterns worldwide.

This climate pattern typically leads to increased temperatures and altered precipitation levels in various regions. The WMO notes that the current warming of ocean waters is accelerating the development of El Niño. Forecasts suggest that temperatures will remain above average in most parts of the world from June to August, with the phenomenon likely persisting until November.

We need to prepare for a potentially powerful El Niño that will cause prolonged heavy rainfall and increase the likelihood of heatwaves on land and at sea.

— Celeste SauloWMO Director-General Celeste Saulo warning about the potential impacts of the upcoming El Niño.

WMO Director-General Celeste Saulo cautioned that the world must prepare for a potentially powerful El Niño, which could result in prolonged periods of heavy rainfall and a higher likelihood of both terrestrial and marine heatwaves. She highlighted that the previous El Niño event, from 2023 into the following year, contributed to 2024 becoming the warmest year on record.

Saulo expressed concern that strong heatwaves can facilitate the spread of insect-borne diseases and exacerbate food and water scarcity. "Communities already struggling will face even more difficult times," she stated, implying potential impacts on global food prices due to climate effects on harvests. The WMO acknowledges that different weather models predict varying intensities of El Niño, but emphasizes the universal need for global preparedness.

Communities already struggling will face even more difficult times.

— Celeste SauloWMO Director-General Celeste Saulo on the potential impact of El Niño on vulnerable populations.
DistantNews Editorial

Originally published by Morgunblaðið in Icelandic. Translated, summarized, and contextualized by our editorial team with added local perspective. Read our editorial standards.