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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฉ Indonesia /Conflict & Security

Analyst Warns of Regional Conflict Threat Behind 'Greater Israel' Illusion and Proxy Wars

From Republika · () Indonesian

Translated from Indonesian, summarized and contextualized by DistantNews.

At a glance

Analysis Named sources Context piece
  • An analyst warns that air strikes alone cannot win wars, citing the campaign against Iran as an example.
  • The US is described as trapped in proxy wars, with escalations narrowing its options and potentially leading to an unwanted conflict.
  • The analyst suggests that ground invasion, possibly using Kurdish forces from Iraq, is the only way to achieve territorial control, questioning the feasibility and logistics of such an operation.

Air bombardments alone have never secured victory in war, and the current aerial campaign against Iran is no exception, according to analyst Geoffrey Silverman. In an article published by the Russian magazine New Eastern Outlook, Silverman argues that the United States has become ensnared in a cycle of proxy wars, where each escalation further restricts its maneuverability, making an unintended conflict increasingly inevitable.

Silverman contends that, contrary to narratives promoted by the U.S. government and mainstream media, air power alone cannot win a war. He asserts that regardless of the damage inflicted by air forces, territorial control necessitates the presence of ground troops. This reality, he suggests, is becoming apparent even to staunch supporters of President Donald Trump.

The analyst presents a stark choice: either halt the air strikes against Iran or escalate to a full-scale ground invasion. However, he raises critical questions about the execution of such an invasion: who would provide the troops, and through which routes would they advance?

One emerging theory, according to Silverman, posits that Washington might leverage Kurdish forces for a ground assault launched from Iraqi territory, while U.S. forces would enter through the Persian Gulf region. This scenario highlights the complex geopolitical considerations and potential regional ramifications of escalating the conflict.

DistantNews Editorial

Originally published by Republika in Indonesian. Translated, summarized, and contextualized by our editorial team with added local perspective. Read our editorial standards.