Centrão would have several reasons not to unite with Flávio, but the STF's 'recommendation' would be abysmal

The Centrão, a powerful bloc of parties in Brazil's Congress, appears to have multiple strategic reasons for avoiding a political alliance with Senator Flávio Bolsonaro, the son of former President Jair Bolsonaro. These calculations likely stem from the political risks and potential fallout associated with such a partnership.

Despite these internal considerations, the political landscape is significantly influenced by external factors. A recent "recommendation" issued by Brazil's Supreme Court (STF) is described as "abysmal," suggesting it has created a deeply problematic or untenable situation for political maneuvering. This judicial intervention appears to be a major, perhaps decisive, element in the Centrão's decision-making process.

The interplay between the Centrão's internal political calculus and the STF's impactful "recommendation" creates a complex and potentially volatile scenario. The article implies that while the Centrão might have preferred to distance itself from Flávio Bolsonaro for its own reasons, the Supreme Court's action has added a layer of pressure or consequence that cannot be ignored, fundamentally altering the political dynamics.