Colombia Poll: Far-Right Candidate De la Espriella Leads Leftist Rival Cepeda by Nearly Four Points

Colombia's presidential race is heading into its final week with a tight contest between far-right candidate Abelardo de la Espriella and leftist rival Iván Cepeda. The latest poll from the National Consulting Center, published by Cambio magazine, indicates de la Espriella holds a narrow lead of 3.9 percentage points.

According to the survey, de la Espriella, representing the Defensores de la Patria movement, has garnered 48.6% of voter intention. His opponent, Cepeda of the Pacto Histórico party, which is associated with the current President Gustavo Petro, trails with 44.7%. A significant 6.7% of the electorate remains undecided or plans to cast a blank vote.

This poll reflects a shift since the first round of voting on May 31. In that round, de la Espriella received 10.3 million votes (43.78%), while Cepeda secured 9.7 million votes (40.98%). The current poll suggests de la Espriella has widened his advantage over Cepeda.

Other recent surveys have shown an even larger lead for de la Espriella. A poll by Guarumo and Ecoanalítica for El Tiempo newspaper placed him at 52.6% against Cepeda's 45%, a difference of 7.6 points. Similarly, AtlasIntel's survey for Semana magazine showed de la Espriella with 50.9% and Cepeda with 43.1%, a gap of 7.8 points.

Campaigning in public spaces for the second round concludes this Sunday, a week before the election. No further polls can be published in the remaining days leading up to the vote on June 21, leaving voters to weigh the candidates' platforms in the final stretch.