Datafolha poll: Negative view of Lula's government holds at 38%, positive at 32%

A recent Datafolha poll indicates that 38% of Brazilian voters hold a negative view of President Lula's government, with 32% expressing a positive assessment and 29% rating it as regular. These figures remain largely stable compared to the previous survey in late May, which recorded similar percentages.

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The work of President Lula (PT) is evaluated as negative by 38% of Brazilian voters. Those who consider the petista's management positive are 32%, while 29% classify it as regular.

The poll, conducted face-to-face with 2,004 voters on June 17-18, has a maximum margin of error of two percentage points. When asked about their approval of Lula's performance, 48% expressed approval, a figure consistent with the previous month, while 49% disapproved, a slight increase from 48% in late May. A small fraction, 3%, remained undecided.

Despite legislative developments like the Chamber of Deputies approving a constitutional amendment to end the 6x1 work schedule, its progress is stalled in the Senate. Internationally, the US proposed tariffs on Brazilian goods and designated Brazilian criminal factions as terrorist organizations. Historically, presidential approval ratings have influenced voting patterns. Datafolha's findings show a strong correlation: 69% of those intending to vote for Lula view his government positively, contrasting sharply with those who plan to vote for Bolsonaro, among whom only 3% hold a positive view and 77% a negative one.

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The picture is one of stability compared to the previous round, when a gradual improvement in government evaluation was measured.

The survey also noted a slight negative shift in approval among low-income voters (earning up to two minimum wages), with positive assessments dropping from 39% to 36% and negative ones rising from 28% to 31%. Comparing Lula's current term with his previous presidencies (2003-2010), 5% consider the current administration "much better," while 27% say it's "better." Conversely, 25% find it "worse" and 19% "much worse." Overall, 21% believe it is the same as his previous terms.

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When asked whether they approve or disapprove of Lula's work as president, 48% say they approve of the government (same performance as late May), while 49% say they disapprove (compared to 48% again at the end of last month).