'Hongxia' Expected to Form Typhoon, Gale-Force Winds Near Taiwan; Rain Probability to Increase
Translated from Chinese, summarized and contextualized by DistantNews.
At a glance
- A tropical depression east of the Philippines is expected to intensify into Typhoon Noul (Hongxia) by early morning, potentially triggering a gale warning.
- The storm's projected path indicates its wind field will skirt the southern sea areas of Taiwan.
- Starting tomorrow, rainfall probability will significantly increase in several areas, with the storm expected to make landfall in Guangdong on Sunday.
A tropical depression east of the Philippines, designated TD13, is showing signs of development and is forecast to become Typhoon Noul (known locally as Hongxia) by early Wednesday. The storm's projected path has raised concerns, as its wind field is expected to pass near Taiwan's southern sea areas, prompting the possibility of a gale warning.
The path error circle shows that future movement still has uncertainty, and possible adjustments and changes in the degree of impact should be closely observed.
Weather expert Wu Der-rong noted that while the storm's path has some uncertainty, it is expected to move northwestward. By Wednesday afternoon, the storm is predicted to move through the Bashi Channel, with its wind field grazing the southern sea areas. It is then forecast to make landfall in Guangdong province early Sunday.
TD13 is located at 16.0 degrees North latitude and 129.4 degrees East longitude, 1110 kilometers southeast of Eluanbi, moving northwestward at a speed of 28 to 25 kilometers per hour. The Weather Administration predicts TD13 has a trend of strengthening into a typhoon within 18 hours.
Latest model simulations suggest that the eastern half of Taiwan will see a significantly increased chance of rain starting Wednesday evening. Throughout Saturday and Sunday, the outer cloud bands of Typhoon Noul are expected to influence Taiwan, expanding the rain coverage. The eastern, southeastern, and southern parts of the island should prepare for heavier rainfall, while central areas may experience isolated showers. The northern part of Taiwan is expected to be least affected, with daytime temperatures remaining high.
The wind field will graze the southern sea areas, and the possibility of issuing a gale warning cannot be ruled out.
Wu Der-rong advised close observation of the storm's trajectory for any potential adjustments and their impact. The Central Weather Administration is monitoring the situation closely as the storm continues to develop.
Starting tomorrow, the probability of rain will increase significantly.
Originally published by Liberty Times in Chinese. Translated, summarized, and contextualized by our editorial team with added local perspective. Read our editorial standards.