New poll compares Kılıçdaroğlu and Özel's CHP support
Translated from Turkish, summarized and contextualized by DistantNews.
At a glance
- A new poll by MetroPOLL explores voter sentiment following a decision regarding the CHP party leadership.
- In a scenario where Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu leads the CHP, the party garners only 7.1% of the vote, with the AKP becoming the leading party.
- If Özgür Özel leads the CHP, the party secures 26.8% and leads the polls; if he forms a new party, it gains 24.9% and also leads.
A new poll by MetroPOLL gauges public opinion on the Republican People's Party (CHP) following a controversial decision regarding its leadership. The survey presents three distinct scenarios for an "if elections were held this Sunday" question: one with Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu as the appointed CHP leader, another with the elected leader Özgür Özel leading the CHP, and a third where Özel establishes a new party.
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In the scenario where Kılıçdaroğlu leads the CHP, the party's support plummets to 7.1%. The ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) emerges as the leading party with 21% of the vote. Other parties in this scenario include the İYİ Party at 9.3%, the DEM Party at 9.2%, and the Nationalist Movement Party (MHP) at 5.4%. Notably, the poll also indicated that 16.2% of voters would cast a protest vote.
However, when the poll considers Özgür Özel as the leader of the CHP, the party's standing improves dramatically. The CHP secures 26.8% of the vote, positioning it as the leading party. The AKP follows with 20.2%, the DEM Party with 8.0%, the MHP with 6.5%, and the İYİ Party with 3.1%. In this scenario, the protest vote rate drops to 12.0%.
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Further analysis explores the potential impact of Özgür Özel forming a new party. In this hypothetical situation, Özel's new party leads with 24.9% of the vote. The AKP garners 19.9%, the DEM Party 8.1%, the MHP 4.8%, Kılıçdaroğlu's CHP 3.6%, and the İYİ Party 3.3%. The poll also surveyed participants on internal CHP matters, with 61.2% disagreeing with Kılıçdaroğlu's appointment as leader and 45.7% believing he should call for an immediate party congress. Regarding Kılıçdaroğlu's honesty, 62.7% of respondents answered "no."
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Originally published by Cumhuriyet in Turkish. Translated, summarized, and contextualized by our editorial team with added local perspective. Read our editorial standards.