Optimism Fades After NATO Summit: 'This Is Unpleasant'
Translated from Lithuanian, summarized and contextualized by DistantNews.
At a glance
- Analysts express disappointment with the outcomes of the recent NATO summit in Ankara, noting a lack of significant progress.
- While NATO remains intact and the U.S. has not withdrawn, the increase in defense spending by member states is less dramatic than reported.
- Concerns remain about potential U.S. troop withdrawals from Europe, a prospect that troubles European allies.
Optimism following the NATO summit in Ankara has been tempered by a critical assessment from analysts, who describe the results as "unpleasant." While the alliance's continued existence and the U.S.'s commitment were acknowledged, a closer look at defense spending reveals a less encouraging picture than initially presented.
Let's be objective: we can be happy that NATO still exists, that we are still NATO members, that the U.S. is not leaving NATO and there were no dramatic statements either during the NATO summit or in its declaration.
Gabrielius Landsbergis, an expert from Stanford University, pointed out that while NATO remains a functioning entity and the U.S. has not signaled withdrawal, the reported surge in defense funding by member states is not as substantial as claimed. He noted that only five states, Lithuania, Estonia, Latvia, Poland, and Greece, are dedicating a significant portion of their GDP to defense, with Lithuania leading at 5.3%. Many other key allies, including Germany and the United Kingdom, have pledged to reach higher spending levels only by 2030.
However, to remain objective and not manipulate public mood, it is worth looking at how things really are, what can be expected, and what news has been announced.
Landsbergis highlighted that with only a few frontline states making substantial defense investments, it is difficult to celebrate significant progress, especially given the perceived existential threat from Russia. This situation raises questions about the collective security posture of the alliance.
So, when we talk about existential danger and major concerns about Russia, having only five states (which are frontline states) dedicating somewhat adequate money, it is indeed difficult to be very happy about great progress.
Adding to the unease, U.S. President Donald Trump's remarks about potentially withdrawing all American troops from Europe, despite leaving the summit in better spirits, have caused significant concern among European allies. Analysts suggest that such intentions have been signaled before, but the pace and timing remain uncertain. This prospect, coupled with the nuanced reality of defense spending, casts a shadow over the perceived achievements of the NATO summit.
I, for example, heard this not as a threat that it is possible to do so. As I understand it, that is the plan.
Originally published by Delfi in Lithuanian. Translated, summarized, and contextualized by our editorial team with added local perspective. Read our editorial standards.