Rain to hit Independence Day celebrations in Delhi? What IMD forecast says

Delhi's Independence Day celebrations at the Red Fort on Saturday might be accompanied by light rainfall, according to the India Meteorological Department (IMD). The IMD has issued a yellow alert for all districts, predicting rain spells until at least 9 a.m. This forecast suggests a potentially cloudy sky over the Red Fort area, with a high probability of very light to light rain occurring in the early morning hours.

Specific forecasts indicate a potential for about 5 mm of rain between 4 a.m. and 6 a.m., with a 70% probability. Another spell of approximately 5 mm is likely between 6 a.m. and 9 a.m., carrying a 60% probability. Additionally, a smaller spell of about 3 mm is expected in the afternoon or evening, also with a 60% probability.

Meteorologists attribute the anticipated rainfall to the shifting monsoon trough. Mahesh Palawat from Skymet explained that the monsoon trough is expected to move northwestward, potentially leading to the formation of a low-pressure area over southeast Uttar Pradesh and northern Chhattisgarh around August 15. The axis of the monsoon trough is anticipated to lie over the Indo-Gangetic plains, including Delhi, contributing to widespread light to moderate rainfall, particularly during the late night and early morning hours of August 15. While isolated showers might continue in some parts of the city after the morning, the primary spell is expected to be concentrated in the early hours.

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The monsoon trough is expected to move northwestwards, and around August 15, a low-pressure area is likely to develop over southeast Uttar Pradesh and northern Chhattisgarh. At the same time, the axis of the monsoon trough is expected to lie over the Indo-Gangetic plains, including the Delhi region. Because of this, widespread light to moderate rainfall is likely over Delhi, particularly during the late night hours of August 14 continuing to early morning hours of August 15.