Saudi Arabia forecasts above-average October rainfall, hotter-than-normal temperatures through autumn

Saudi Arabia can expect a wetter-than-average October, according to the National Center for Meteorology (NCM). The forecast indicates that rainfall will gradually increase and exceed seasonal averages across most of the Kingdom by October, signaling a shift from the preceding months.

However, the outlook for August and September presents a more varied picture. August rainfall is predicted to be below average in Jazan and Al-Baha, as well as in parts of Najran, Asir, Makkah, Madinah, Tabuk, Riyadh, and the Eastern Province. Other regions are likely to experience near-average rainfall during this period.

September is forecast to bring above-average rainfall to Tabuk, Madinah, and Al-Baha, with parts of Asir, Makkah, Qassim, Hail, Al-Jouf, and the Northern Borders Region also expected to see increased precipitation. Rainfall elsewhere is anticipated to remain close to normal.

Throughout the autumn period spanning August, September, and October, temperatures are projected to remain above seasonal norms. August could see temperatures rise as much as 2.5 degrees Celsius above average in parts of Al-Baha, Asir, and Makkah. In September, temperatures are expected to be up to 2 degrees Celsius above normal in several regions, including Jazan, Madinah, Tabuk, Al-Jouf, Hail, Qassim, and the Northern Borders Region, as well as parts of Asir, Makkah, Al-Baha, Riyadh, and the Eastern Province. By October, temperatures could exceed seasonal averages by up to 2.5 degrees Celsius in parts of Najran, Asir, Al-Baha, Makkah, Riyadh, and the Eastern Province. The NCM advises the public to monitor its regular updates for the latest weather information.