Ukraine Intelligence: Russia Plans to Mobilize 600,000 More Soldiers

Ukraine's intelligence agencies have revealed information suggesting Russia is preparing for a significant new wave of mobilization, potentially adding 600,000 soldiers to its forces by 2027. According to a statement from the Office of the President of Ukraine, citing intelligence data, Russia plans to mobilize 300,000 troops this year and an equal number next year.

This reported plan is attributed to Russia's loss of initiative on the battlefield, mounting casualties, and a slowdown in contract recruitment across various regions. Intelligence suggests that from January to July of this year, Russia suffered approximately 240,000 casualties, with at least 140,000 being irreversible losses. During the same period, only 232,000 people were recruited under contract, indicating a deficit.

In preparation for this potential mobilization and increased contract recruitment, Russia is reportedly amending its laws. Measures include tightening military registration controls, creating mechanisms for forcibly conscripting individuals serving sentences in prisons, and potentially expanding recruitment to certain categories of female prisoners. Quotas may also be set for law enforcement agencies to send personnel into military service.

The intelligence also indicates that Russia is developing measures to counter potential negative social and economic consequences arising from a stricter wartime regime. Internal Russian documents reportedly cite growing discontent over the war, with dissatisfaction levels reaching as high as 69% in some regions, coinciding with a decrease in voluntary contract enlistments. Recruitment challenges are particularly noted in regions like Oryol, Vladimir, and Dagestan, with some areas failing to meet monthly recruitment targets.