US allies eye nuclear arms as Washington's commitments waver

The United States' traditional approach to alliances, once seen as a key political-military asset, is now increasingly transactional under the current administration. This shift forces nations like Japan and South Korea to prepare for scenarios where American security guarantees might be insufficient or conditional. Consequently, East Asia is witnessing a trend toward "hedging," with countries exploring nuclear weapons and developing autonomous long-range strike capabilities to secure their interests.

The limitations of the U.S. defense industry in meeting contract deadlines further compel allies toward greater self-sufficiency. Similar strategic reevaluations are occurring in the Middle East, where growing uncertainty about American engagement is fostering local coalitions, such as an agreement between Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan.

Dr. Marek Stefan from "Strategy & Future" highlights a fundamental change in U.S. alliance philosophy. "Donald Trump, above all, sees alliances as a cost, not a resource," he stated. "This is a key difference that distinguishes his policy and his administration from his predecessors. Under the strategy of primacy pursued since 1945, alliances were an asset, and partnerships a resource and a force multiplier. Meanwhile, Trump views these relationships primarily as a cost that Americans bear due to their military, political, and especially financial commitments."

Meanwhile, Ethiopia, despite rebuilding after a brutal civil war, remains one of sub-Saharan Africa's fastest-growing economies. Its projected 7.9% annual growth is accompanied by significant infrastructure investments and aspirations for regional dominance. However, Addis Ababa faces internal tensions, logistical issues, and international disputes, notably with Somalia over a coastal lease agreement with the self-declared state of Somaliland. This move, aimed at securing direct sea access beyond Djibouti's port, has triggered a deep diplomatic crisis. Further complicating Ethiopia's regional standing are strained relations with Eritrea and an ongoing dispute with Egypt over the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam on the Blue Nile.

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Donald Trump, above all, sees alliances as a cost, not a resource. This is a key difference that distinguishes his policy and his administration from his predecessors. Under the strategy of primacy pursued since 1945, alliances were an asset, and partnerships a resource and a force multiplier. Meanwhile, Trump views these relationships primarily as a cost that Americans bear due to their military, political, and especially financial commitments.