Will Philippine Sea be the main battlefield for PLA carriers in a Taiwan war?

The Philippine Sea, traditionally viewed as a gateway for US and allied forces to defend Taiwan, may instead become a crucial battleground in a war between China and Taiwan.

Operating naval carriers close to Taiwan's shores could present significant risks due to the presence of land-based missile networks in Northeast Asia. Michael Bosack, director of the Parley Policy Initiative, suggests the Philippine Sea would be a "decisive location for carrier operations." He explained that this positioning would maximize the carriers' utility and capabilities in shaping the broader maritime battlespace.

By positioning carrier groups in the Philippine Sea, China could effectively establish a regional buffer. This strategy would aim to frustrate foreign maritime forces before they can even engage in combat. Bosack noted that this deployment would enable China not only to intercept enemy ships but also to deter potential adversaries from embarking on the long voyage towards Taiwan.

This strategic shift highlights the evolving naval warfare considerations in the region, where the vast expanse of the Philippine Sea could play a pivotal role in controlling access and projecting power in a potential cross-Strait conflict.

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There, their utility and capabilities can be maximised in shaping the wider maritime battlespace. This supports the establishment of a regional buffer, frustrating foreign maritime forces before they can even enter the fray.