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WMO warns of record global temperatures likely between 2026-2030
๐Ÿ‡ป๐Ÿ‡ณ Vietnam /Environment & Climate

WMO warns of record global temperatures likely between 2026-2030

From Tuแป•i Trแบป · () Vietnamese

Translated from Vietnamese, summarized and contextualized by DistantNews.

At a glance

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  • Global average temperatures are likely to remain at record or near-record highs between 2026 and 2030, the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) warned.
  • The WMO report indicates a 75% chance that the average temperature for the next five-year period will exceed the 1.5ยฐC threshold set by the Paris Agreement.
  • The Arctic is warming three times faster than the global average, with significant regional variations in precipitation expected.

The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) has issued a stark warning: global average temperatures are expected to remain at record or near-record highs from 2026 to 2030. This trend reflects the accelerating warming of Earth's climate, with the 11 hottest years on record all occurring since 2015.

There is a high probability that a new hottest year in history will occur before 2031.

โ€” WMOThe WMO report highlights the likelihood of new temperature records being set in the near future.

The WMO's report projects that the global average temperature during the 2026-2030 period will be between 1.3ยฐC and 1.9ยฐC higher than the 1850-1900 pre-industrial average. Critically, there is a 75% probability that the average temperature increase over this five-year span will surpass 1.5ยฐC, a key reference point in the Paris Agreement aimed at limiting global warming.

The global average temperature during the 2026-2030 period is projected to be 1.3ยฐC to 1.9ยฐC higher than the 1850-1900 pre-industrial average.

โ€” WMOThis projection indicates the expected temperature increase over the next five years.

While exceeding the 1.5ยฐC threshold in a single year does not mean the Paris Agreement's goal is broken, as it's calculated on long-term averages, the continuous string of record-breaking hot years signals a rapidly intensifying and increasingly difficult-to-control climate change. The WMO also highlighted the potential return of El Niรฑo by late 2026, which could further increase the risk of new temperature records, particularly in 2027.

There is a 75% chance that the average temperature of the upcoming 5-year period will exceed the 1.5ยฐC threshold.

โ€” WMOThis highlights the increasing risk of breaching a critical climate change limit.

The Arctic is experiencing particularly severe warming, with winter temperatures projected to be about 2.8ยฐC higher than the 1991-2020 average over the next five years, more than three times the global average increase. Precipitation patterns are also expected to diverge significantly, with potential increases in areas like the southern Sahara Desert, Northern Europe, Alaska, and Siberia, while the Amazon region faces drier conditions.

Global temperature in 2024 is considered the hottest in history, about 1.55ยฐC higher than the 1850-1900 average.

โ€” WMOThis statement provides context on current temperature anomalies.
DistantNews Editorial

Originally published by Tuแป•i Trแบป in Vietnamese. Translated, summarized, and contextualized by our editorial team with added local perspective. Read our editorial standards.

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