Youngest Voters Lean Towards 'No' in Iceland's EU Referendum

As Iceland prepares for a referendum on whether to resume accession talks with the European Union, a new poll by Maskína reveals a closely contested race. The survey indicates that the gap between those supporting and opposing the resumption of talks has significantly narrowed in the days leading up to the vote.

Of particular interest is the trend observed among the youngest eligible voters. The poll found that individuals aged 18 to 29 years old are showing a slight preference for voting against resuming EU accession talks. Specifically, 51.2% of this demographic indicated they intend to vote 'no,' while 48.8% plan to vote 'yes.' This finding is noteworthy given that both campaigns have actively sought to appeal to younger voters, particularly through social media engagement.

Overall, the Maskína poll shows that 51.3% of respondents intend to vote in favor of resuming accession talks, while 48.8% plan to vote against it. The margin between the two sides is within the margin of error, highlighting the uncertainty of the outcome.

Analysis of Maskína's polling data over the summer suggests a gradual, steady increase in support for the 'no' side. In late July, 47% of respondents favored voting against resuming talks. This figure rose to 47.8% by August 13th and has now reached 48.8%. This trend indicates a growing momentum for the opposition as the referendum date approaches, contributing to the heightened tension surrounding the vote.