ENFEN Maintains Alert for El Niño Costero, Potential Impact from May

The Peruvian National Institute for the Study of the "El Niño" Phenomenon (ENFEN) has issued a new pronouncement, maintaining its alert for the "El Niño Costero" phenomenon. While the current projection indicates a weak intensity, there's a possibility it could escalate to moderate levels between June and July, and potentially persist until January 2027. This forecast impacts expected rainfall patterns along the northern coast, with projections of normal to above-normal precipitation between May and July. River flows in the Pacific basin are expected to remain normal, except in the southern region. For the fishing sector, anchovy catches in the north-central stock are anticipated to remain low due to temporary area closures, though bonito will continue to be available along the coast. Globally, the Pacific Central region (Niño 3.4) is expected to transition from neutral to warm conditions by June 2026, potentially developing into a weak El Niño event that could last until January 2027. ENFEN's official statement, released on April 30th, underscores the ongoing vigilance required to monitor and prepare for the potential impacts of this climate event.

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Sin embargo, se mantiene la probabilidad de que alcance la magnitud moderada hacia fines del presente año (noviembre y diciembre)