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Ex-General: Trump Has Cornered Himself on Iran Policy
๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช Sweden /Conflict & Security

Ex-General: Trump Has Cornered Himself on Iran Policy

From Dagens Nyheter · (45m ago) Swedish Critical tone

Translated from Swedish, summarized and contextualized by DistantNews.

TLDR

  • Former US General Ben Hodges believes the Trump administration has cornered itself regarding Iran, lacking a clear exit strategy from the current situation.
  • Hodges suggests Trump's approach, possibly aiming for a swift collapse of the Iranian regime similar to Venezuela, underestimated the Revolutionary Guard's power and overlooked the risks of blocking the Strait of Hormuz.
  • The general also expresses concern over potential Russian and Chinese support for Iran and criticizes Trump's lack of direct confrontation with Russia, while questioning the diplomatic competence of his negotiators.

The Trump administration finds itself in a strategic quandary concerning Iran, according to retired General Ben Hodges, former Commander of the US Army in Europe. Hodges, now an advisor at Human Rights First, asserts that the administration lacks a coherent strategy to extricate itself from the self-imposed diplomatic corner.

The Trump administration has painted itself into a corner. They have no strategy to get out of the situation they have created.

โ€” Ben HodgesDescribing the US diplomatic predicament regarding Iran.

Hodges points to the stalled negotiations between the US and Iran, noting President Trump's dismissal of Tehran's proposals to separate the issues of the Strait of Hormuz and Iran's nuclear program. He suggests that Trump's initial objectives have already been compromised, with any potential agreement likely resembling the one the US withdrew from in 2018. The critical need for free passage through the Strait of Hormuz remains, and failure to secure it would be a significant strategic setback for the US, Hodges warns.

Anything else would be seen as a total strategic failure for the United States.

โ€” Ben HodgesOn the importance of securing free passage in the Strait of Hormuz.

The general speculates that Trump may have miscalculated, perhaps expecting a regime collapse similar to Venezuela by targeting Iran's leadership. However, this approach, Hodges argues, failed to recognize the true power held by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, distinct from the clerical leadership. Furthermore, Hodges expresses deep concern over reports of Russian and Chinese assistance to Iran, which he believes endangers American lives, and questions why the President has not addressed this issue more forcefully.

The problem is that the president is looking for a way out, while the Iranians seem to believe they have time on their side.

โ€” Ben HodgesOn the differing approaches of the US and Iran in negotiations.

Adding another layer of complexity, Hodges notes Israel's import of grain allegedly stolen from Ukraine, suggesting divergent interests between the US and Israel. He also highlights a consistent pattern during Trump's presidency: a reluctance to confront Russian President Vladimir Putin, despite criticism leveled at other nations. Hodges questions the qualifications of Trump's negotiators, Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, characterizing them as businessmen rather than seasoned diplomats, particularly in their handling of complex negotiations with Iran and Russia, as well as their previous role in mediating the Ukraine conflict.

It is very worrying, as it puts the lives of American soldiers at risk. I do not understand why the president has not done anything about it.

โ€” Ben HodgesExpressing concern over Russian and Chinese support for Iran.
DistantNews Editorial

Originally published by Dagens Nyheter in Swedish. Translated, summarized, and contextualized by our editorial team with added local perspective. Read our editorial standards.