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🇮🇩 Indonesia /Economy & Trade

Mirae Asset Projects 5 Percent Economic Growth for Indonesia in 2026

From Republika · (1h ago) Indonesian Positive tone

Translated from Indonesian, summarized and contextualized by DistantNews.

TLDR

  • PT Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia projects national economic growth of 5 percent for 2026, a slight decrease from 5.1 percent.
  • Global economic growth is expected to slow, but Indonesia's slowdown is projected to be less significant due to strong domestic fundamentals.
  • Factors like inflation, oil prices, global interest rate dynamics, and geopolitical uncertainty will influence market direction and economic growth.

Indonesian economic resilience is projected to continue into 2026, with PT Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia forecasting a 5 percent growth rate. While global economic growth is anticipated to decelerate, Indonesia's economy is expected to remain robust, experiencing only a marginal dip from 5.1 percent. This outlook, shared by the International Monetary Fund (IMF), underscores the strength of Indonesia's domestic economic fundamentals.

If Indonesia, it's relatively not too significant, from 5.1 percent to 5 percent. This is in line with our previous outlook, down to 5 percent throughout 2026.

— Rully Arya WisnubrotoExplaining Mirae Asset Sekuritas' economic growth projection for Indonesia in 2026.

Head of Research and Chief Economist at Mirae Asset Sekuritas, Rully Arya Wisnubroto, noted that the room for interest rate easing will be constrained by inflationary pressures and oil prices. Geopolitical uncertainties, particularly tensions in the Middle East impacting global trade routes, are also contributing to inflationary pressures and slowing economic growth worldwide. However, Wisnubroto remains optimistic about investment opportunities in Indonesia, citing the country's relatively stable domestic economic conditions.

Volatility is part of global dynamics. However, with domestic fundamentals still relatively maintained, investment opportunities in the Indonesian market are still open.

— Rully Arya WisnubrotoExpressing optimism about Indonesia's investment climate despite global uncertainties.

This optimism is echoed by the Minister of Finance, Purbaya Yudhi Sadewa, who anticipates Indonesia's economy to grow between 5.4-6 percent in 2026. He highlighted Indonesia's strong performance in 2025, growing at 5.11 percent amidst a global slowdown, as proof of its health and ability to withstand external pressures. Key drivers for this resilience include robust household consumption, a continued trade balance surplus, controlled inflation, manageable fiscal deficits, a low debt-to-GDP ratio, and sustained downstream industrial policies. From an Indonesian perspective, these figures are not just numbers; they represent a testament to our nation's prudent economic management and our capacity to navigate global volatility, a narrative often underappreciated by international observers focused solely on broader global trends.

When many countries are experiencing economic slowdowns, Indonesia's economy remains resilient, growing at 5.11 percent in 2025.

— Purbaya Yudhi SadewaHighlighting Indonesia's economic strength during the IMF–World Bank Spring Meeting.
DistantNews Editorial

Originally published by Republika in Indonesian. Translated, summarized, and contextualized by our editorial team with added local perspective. Read our editorial standards.

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