Polish Investors Drive Surge in Commercial Real Estate Market

The Polish commercial real estate market is experiencing a robust surge, driven significantly by the growing participation of domestic investors. In the first quarter of 2026, market turnover reached an impressive 1 billion euros, marking a substantial 40% increase compared to the previous year and achieving the best result since 2022. This dynamic growth underscores the increasing attractiveness and stability of Poland's real estate sector.

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Although the war in the Middle East increases economic uncertainty, and its consequences may weaken Poland's economic growth rate, our current forecast, assuming GDP growth of 3.7% in 2026, still places Poland among the fastest-growing economies in the European Union, clearly above the EU average.

Experts from Colliers highlight that the macroeconomic environment is conducive to stable, long-term capital strategies. Despite global uncertainties, Poland's projected GDP growth of 3.7% in 2026 positions it as a leading economy within the European Union. Furthermore, Poland's labor market remains exceptionally strong, boasting the lowest unemployment rate in Europe and steadily increasing real wages. These factors translate into greater tenant stability, enhanced ability to meet rental obligations, and more predictable demand for commercial spaces.

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Poland remains a leader in terms of labor market strength, with the lowest unemployment rate in Europe (3.2% compared to the EU average of 5.9%) and rising real wages.

Polish investors are making their mark, having invested approximately 800 million euros in 2025, capturing a record 18% share of transactions. This represents a remarkable increase of over 60% compared to the previous year and nearly triples the average of the last five years. This trend signifies a structural shift in investment demand, with experienced entrepreneurs from sectors beyond real estate now actively seeking to diversify their capital into commercial properties. This influx of domestic capital is a testament to the maturity and resilience of the Polish economy and its real estate market.

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From the perspective of the real estate market, this means greater tenant stability: greater ability to pay rent, less inclination for drastic decisions, and more predictable demand for space.