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Poll: Likud could fall below 20 seats without Netanyahu

From Jerusalem Post · (5m ago) English Mixed tone

Translated from English, summarized and contextualized by DistantNews.

TLDR

  • A poll suggests the Likud party would fall below 20 seats without Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.
  • Respondents were divided on whether Netanyahu could lead a new party to significant electoral success.
  • The poll also indicated opposition to granting Netanyahu reserved slots on the Likud list, though coalition voters showed more support.

A recent poll reported by Maariv, and covered by The Jerusalem Post, suggests a significant vulnerability for the Likud party should Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu not be at its helm. The findings indicate that without his leadership, Likud could potentially drop below 20 Knesset seats, a stark decline from its current standing.

Without Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, Likud would likely receive fewer than 20 Knesset seats, according to a Maariv readersโ€™ poll published Wednesday

โ€” Maariv readers' pollThe central finding of the poll regarding Likud's potential performance without Netanyahu.

The poll also explored the hypothetical scenario of Netanyahu forming a new political framework. While a portion of respondents believe such a venture could still garner substantial support, the results are mixed, reflecting uncertainty about his appeal independent of the Likud brand. This internal debate within Israeli politics is crucial, as it touches upon the future trajectory of the Likud party and the broader political landscape.

70% of respondents said the party would receive somewhere under 20 seats, with 36.4% saying the party would receive between 10 and 20 seats, and 33.9% saying it would fall below 10 seats.

โ€” Maariv readers' pollDetailed breakdown of the poll results concerning Likud's seat count without Netanyahu.

Furthermore, the article delves into internal Likud party dynamics, specifically addressing the controversial issue of reserved slots on the party list for Netanyahu. The poll reveals clear opposition among the general public, and particularly among opposition voters, to granting these reserved seats. However, a notable segment of coalition voters expressed support for such measures, highlighting the deep divisions within the electorate and the party itself.

Some 15.6% said Likud could still win 30 or more seats without him, while 14.1% said it would receive between 20 and 30 seats.

โ€” Maariv readers' pollPresenting the minority view on Likud's potential strength without Netanyahu.

From an Israeli perspective, this poll is more than just a snapshot of public opinion; it reflects the intense and often personality-driven nature of Israeli politics. The focus on Netanyahu's personal influence, both within Likud and potentially in a new party, is a recurring theme. While international media might analyze these numbers in terms of electoral strategy, for Israelis, it speaks to the deep loyalty and division Netanyahu inspires, and the ongoing question of Likud's identity with or without its long-standing leader.

Some 33.4% said a new party led by Netanyahu would win 10-20 seats, while 28.4% said it would receive fewer than 10.

โ€” Maariv readers' pollResults on the potential performance of a new party led by Netanyahu.
DistantNews Editorial

Originally published by Jerusalem Post in English. Translated, summarized, and contextualized by our editorial team with added local perspective. Read our editorial standards.