Tunisia: A Hotter-Than-Normal Summer 2026 Expected, Warns INM

Tunisia's National Meteorology Institute (INM) has issued a seasonal forecast indicating a hotter-than-normal summer for 2026, a projection that La Presse highlights with concern. The report details expected temperatures significantly above the usual averages for May, June, and July across the country. This forecast is particularly relevant for Tunisia, a nation already grappling with the impacts of climate change, including water scarcity and extreme heat events.

La Presse emphasizes the specific temperature ranges, noting that while normal summer highs in the south can reach 30°C, the forecast suggests these could be exceeded. The institute's bulletin also points to a lack of a dominant signal for rainfall, reinforcing the expectation of dry conditions. This is crucial for Tunisia, where agriculture remains a vital sector, and water resources are already under strain. The prospect of a hotter, drier summer raises concerns about potential impacts on crop yields, water availability for both domestic and agricultural use, and the overall resilience of the ecosystem.

The article, by detailing the monthly breakdown of expected climate patterns, provides a clear picture of the anticipated seasonal shift. As Tunisia, like much of the Mediterranean region, faces increasing climatic instability, such forecasts serve as an important alert. They underscore the need for proactive measures in water management, agricultural adaptation, and public health preparedness to mitigate the effects of prolonged heat and drought. The INM's report, as presented by La Presse, is a stark reminder of the environmental challenges confronting the nation.