Typhoon Maysak Slows, Heavy Rain Forecast for Four Vietnamese Provinces

Typhoon Maysak, the first typhoon of the season, is moving slowly at approximately 7 km/h, according to Vietnam's National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting. The most likely scenario, with a 70% probability, is for the typhoon to make landfall on the western side of China's Hainan Island before entering the Gulf of Tonkin and heading towards the northern province of Quang Ninh.

In this scenario, the Gulf of Tonkin, including the islands of Bach Long Vi, Van Don, Co To, Cat Hai, and Hon Dau, will experience strong winds of level 8-9, with gusts up to level 11. Coastal areas in Quang Ninh, Hai Phong, and Hung Yen will face winds of level 6-7, and level 8 near the storm's center, with gusts up to level 10.

Northeastern Vietnam is bracing for heavy rainfall from Sunday night, July 3, to July 5. The forecast predicts widespread rainfall of 100-150 mm in the eastern part of the Northeast region, with amounts reaching 200-300 mm in the northeasternmost areas. Some locations could even see over 500 mm of rain, particularly in Lang Son, Quang Ninh, Hai Phong, and Bac Ninh provinces.

A less likely scenario suggests that a rapid weakening of the subtropical high-pressure belt could cause Maysak to shift further north, entering China's Guangxi region. This would result in weaker winds on land in northern Vietnam and reduced rainfall in the Northeast. However, the waters of the Gulf of Tonkin would still experience strong winds and rough seas.