Adolescent participation in the electorate may reach its worst level since 2014, says research

Brazil is facing a concerning trend as projections indicate the lowest participation of 16- and 17-year-old voters in a presidential election since at least 2014. The deadline for issuing voter IDs is fast approaching, and current data suggests a significant drop in engagement among this crucial demographic.

Instituto Lamparina and the movement GirlUp Brasil, analyzing data from the Superior Electoral Court (TSE), forecast that between 1.44 million and 1.6 million adolescents will register to vote. This figure represents approximately 27.6% of the eligible population in this age bracket, falling short of the 33.7% recorded in 2014, 31% in 2018, and a notable 41.2% in 2022.

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We started in the worst January in the historical series and ended with the best May.

Several factors may be contributing to this anticipated decline. Unlike the 2022 election cycle, where online registration and a temporary suspension of biometric requirements facilitated a surge in youth participation, the 2026 process mandates in-person biometric registration. This added hurdle, particularly in regions with limited access to electoral offices, could deter young Brazilians from completing their registration. The voluntary nature of voting for this age group further underscores the importance of accessible and engaging registration processes.

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The angle of the curve was completely atypical.