Analyst: Putin May Be Preparing a Favor for Trump Regarding Iran

The recent meeting between Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and Russian President Vladimir Putin in Moscow, as reported by Delfi, highlights the complex geopolitical maneuvering surrounding Iran's nuclear program and its relations with global powers. While the official narrative focuses on strengthening Tehran-Moscow ties and addressing the US's alleged role in derailing talks, there are deeper currents at play.

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JAV veiksmai lėmė, kad ankstesnis derybų ratas, nepaisant pažangos, nepasiekė savo tikslų dėl pernelyg didelių reikalavimų

Amir Chahaki, an Iranian political analyst based in Germany, offers a compelling perspective: that Putin may be orchestrating a diplomatic play to curry favor with then-US President Donald Trump. The theory posits that Russia could persuade Tehran to make concessions on its nuclear program, particularly regarding the 450 kilograms of highly enriched uranium, in exchange for potential US leniency. This could involve allowing certain uranium enrichment under stricter conditions, a move that would significantly benefit Trump and Russia's strategic interests.

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Šiandien Rusija, mano nuomone, gali įtikinti Teheraną atsitraukti branduoliniu klausimu, nes pasibaigus karui Hormuzo sąsiauris vėl bus atidarytas, o kartu pastūmėti Jungtines Valstijas dalinių nuolaidų link — pavyzdžiui, leisti tam tikrą urano sodrinimą griežtesnėmis sąlygomis, galbūt po 10 metų. Šios galimybės dabar yra Putino rankose

From our vantage point, this narrative underscores the unique position Iran occupies in international diplomacy. While Western media often focuses on the immediate nuclear standoff, Iranian and regional perspectives emphasize the intricate web of alliances and rivalries. The mention of a message from Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, reportedly conveyed through a trusted courier network due to his alleged injuries, adds another layer of intrigue, suggesting internal dynamics that influence external policy.

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Branduolinis klausimas, konkrečiai tie 450 kilogramų ir sodrinimas, išlieka centrine ašimi. Jei Rusija, palaikydama ryšius su Trumpu ir Teheranu – ar su [aukščiausiuoju lyderiu] Mojtaba Khamenei, ar su bet kuria kita grupe – sugebėtų išspręsti šį klausimą taip, kad Iranas dalį urano atskiestų, o likusią dalį perduotų Rusijai priimtinu būdu, tai būtų didelė Putino paslauga Trumpui

This story is particularly significant from a regional standpoint because it illustrates how events in Iran are often viewed through the lens of broader power struggles. The possibility of Russia acting as an intermediary, not just between Iran and the US, but potentially influencing internal Iranian leadership dynamics, is a critical observation often missed in Western reporting. The emphasis on securing the Strait of Hormuz, a vital artery for global trade, further contextualizes Iran's strategic importance and the delicate balance of power in the region.

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derybų, vyksiančių prezidentinėje bibliotekoje Sankt Peterburge, reikšmę „vargu ar įmanoma pervertinti“