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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Israel /Economy & Trade

Iran may run out of oil storage within weeks under US blockade pressure

From Jerusalem Post · (6m ago) English Critical tone

Summarized and contextualized by DistantNews.

TLDR

  • Iran faces a critical shortage of oil storage capacity, potentially running out within 15 to 60 days due to US blockade pressure.
  • The blockade has halted nearly all of Iran's oil exports, forcing the country to store all extracted oil onshore and on vessels.
  • Exhausting storage will compel Iran to shut down oil wells, risking long-term damage and production loss, though some experts suggest a quicker restart capability has been developed under sanctions.

The United States' 'blockade' of Iranian ports is proving remarkably effective, according to Western intelligence sources speaking to The Jerusalem Post. With Iranian oil tankers, which previously handled 85% of the country's exports, unable to leave port, Iran is rapidly filling its storage facilities.

The blockade is working to perfection; there is no economic trade going into or out of Iran.

โ€” a US officialDescribing the effectiveness of the US blockade on Iranian oil exports.

Estimates suggest Iran has between 15 and 60 days of storage capacity remaining. This critical situation forces Tehran into difficult decisions that could inflict significant, long-lasting economic damage. The effectiveness of the blockade is such that a US official declared, 'there is no economic trade going into or out of Iran.'

Thereโ€™s onshore storage, and then thereโ€™s floating storage on vessels.

โ€” Joseph WebsterExplaining the methods Iran is using to store its oil production.

While some Iranian tankers are reportedly attempting to evade sanctions by disguising their AIS signals, the overall pressure is mounting. The prospect of Iran being forced to shut down oil wells is a stark one. As strategic consultant Eyal Hashkes notes, shutting down wells for extended periods can make them difficult to restart, potentially taking years of rehabilitation. This highlights the severe economic consequences of the ongoing US pressure campaign.

There is a common practice of not storing oil in tankers older than 25 years to avoid degrading the quality of the oil. The unanswered question is how far Iran is willing to go in using such vessels, and that will affect how many days of storage capacity it actually has left.

โ€” One Western intelligence sourceDetailing a factor that influences the remaining storage capacity.
DistantNews Editorial

Originally published by Jerusalem Post. Summarized and contextualized by our editorial team with added local perspective. Read our editorial standards.