"Super El Niño" could reach record intensity, impacting 2026-2027 winter

A "Super El Niño" event, potentially reaching record intensity, is rapidly developing in the Pacific Ocean and could significantly influence global weather patterns in the winter of 2026-2027. Specialized meteorological analysis indicates that the warming of equatorial Pacific waters is expanding, with the latest models placing the phenomenon firmly in the "Super El Niño" category.

This powerful El Niño could affect atmospheric pressure and high-altitude currents, with potential impacts on the polar vortex during the cold season. Meteorologist Andrej Flis's analysis, published on July 23, 2026, suggests this episode could become the strongest El Niño in recorded history. The waters in the eastern Pacific are already 3-4 degrees Celsius warmer than normal, with subsurface anomalies exceeding seven degrees Celsius in some areas.

Multiple global forecasting centers, including the American CFSv2 model from NOAA, the European ECMWF model, and the Australian Bureau of Meteorology's forecast, predict a peak temperature close to three degrees Celsius above the long-term average. Severe Weather Europe highlights that these converging predictions from different continents and authorities indicate a record-breaking El Niño, potentially surpassing any event observed in the last 155 years. If these forecasts hold true, the 2026-2027 episode could exceed all previously observed El Niño events in the modern era.

“

Prognozele celor trei centre meteorologice, provenite de pe trei continente și realizate de autorități diferite, indică un El Niño de intensitate record, posibil mai puternic decât oricare altul din ultimii 155 de ani.