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Stock Market Developers Can Benefit from Market Turmoil and Continue to Grow
๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฑ Poland /Economy & Trade

Stock Market Developers Can Benefit from Market Turmoil and Continue to Grow

From Rzeczpospolita · (8m ago) Polish

Translated from Polish, summarized and contextualized by DistantNews.

TLDR

  • In the first quarter of 2026, 17 capital market developers in Poland sold approximately 6,080 apartments, a nearly 20% increase year-on-year but a decrease of over 11% from the previous quarter.
  • This marks a break in the quarter-on-quarter sales improvement trend, partly due to a high base from the fourth quarter of 2025 when many companies achieved above-average results.
  • Despite a slower sales pace in Q1, developers remain optimistic for the year, with most expecting sales growth, supported by improved financing accessibility following interest rate cuts and potential price increases in areas with shrinking supply.

Rzeczpospolita's analysis of the Polish real estate market reveals a complex picture for listed developers in the first quarter of 2026. While year-on-year sales show an increase, the dip from the previous quarter signals a market recalibration after a strong end to 2025. The article, reflecting a typically business-focused perspective from Rzeczpospolita, delves into the nuances of these figures, noting the inclusion of new entities like Budleksu in the statistics. It highlights the seasonal nature of the market, the impact of external factors like the 'war in the Persian Gulf' and inflation concerns, and the fluctuating interest rate environment. Aleksandra Gawroล„ska from JLL provides expert commentary, emphasizing that despite the Q1 slowdown, developers' annual targets remain ambitious. The perspective here is one of cautious optimism, grounded in market data and expert analysis. Rzeczpospolita likely frames this as a testament to the resilience and strategic planning of Polish developers, who are navigating a dynamic economic climate. The article also touches upon the differing market conditions across cities, with supply shortages potentially driving price increases, a key point for local Polish investors and homebuyers.

The results for Q1 2026 show that most developers recorded sales growth year-on-year. This is a natural effect, as at the beginning of 2025, the market was still influenced by high interest rates, and demand only began to recover in the following months. In the quarter-on-quarter comparison, most companies recorded sales declines. This is due to both seasonality โ€“ the beginning of the year traditionally brings less buyer activity due to the holiday break and vacations โ€“ and the high base from the end of 2025, when companies tried to maximize sales results.

โ€” Aleksandra Gawroล„skaDirector of Residential Market Research at JLL, explaining the Q1 2026 sales figures for Polish developers.
DistantNews Editorial

Originally published by Rzeczpospolita in Polish. Translated, summarized, and contextualized by our editorial team with added local perspective. Read our editorial standards.