If Day X Comes: Who Would Defend Lithuania and What Does It Depend On?

A recent study conducted by Vilnius University has shed light on the Lithuanian public's willingness to defend their nation, revealing that a significant majority—83%—support armed defense. While this figure is encouraging, the research, which also surveyed citizens in Latvia and Taiwan, indicates a slightly lower personal commitment to direct combat, with 34% willing to take up arms and 68% prepared for non-armed resistance.

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The willingness to defend and the desire to contribute to defense are essential factors that allow states to survive or fall in wars.

Associate Professor D. Šlekys, one of the study's authors, expressed optimism about these findings, noting that even a third of the adult population willing to fight translates to hundreds of thousands of individuals. However, he stressed the critical link between citizens' well-being and their readiness to defend the country. The research suggests that dissatisfaction with living conditions can diminish a person's willingness to fight for their nation, not out of disloyalty, but due to a perceived lack of personal benefit.

This underscores a broader understanding of national defense, moving beyond purely military considerations. The study highlights that citizens are more inclined to defend a state that provides for their basic needs, ensures access to essential services, and guarantees a sense of security—both physical and emotional. This includes protection from exploitation by employers and access to a just legal system.

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If a person is unhappy with their well-being, they are less inclined to defend Lithuania. It's not that they are disloyal or traitors, but simply say – why should I defend such a state?

From a Lithuanian perspective, these findings are particularly relevant given the geopolitical context. The war in Ukraine serves as a stark reminder of the importance of national resilience and citizen morale. While Western media often focuses on military capabilities and alliances, the Lithuanian discourse, as reflected in this study, emphasizes the foundational role of citizen satisfaction and well-being in maintaining a strong defense posture. The research by Vilnius University provides valuable insights for policymakers, highlighting that investing in the quality of life for citizens is as crucial as strengthening military readiness for national security.

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We cannot deny that a person will be more inclined to defend their state when they are not hungry, know they can use state-provided or funded services, and feel safe.